What is the issue?
- While the FDI flows in the manufacturing sector has already been lacklustre, it is further slowing down now.
- This is a cause of concern if India needs scale-up its economy and create more jobs for its people.
What are the status of Foreign direct investment (FDI) in India?
- Policy - FDI limits were eased across sectors in mid-2016 to allow foreign firms to own 49% in a venture through the direct route.
- Notably, an even greater stake was allowed if the investment venture had access to state-of-the-art technology.
- However, most of the partnerships that are currently in the pipeline are in the nature of technical collaborations – with little in terms of FDI.
- Stats - Flows into the industrial and manufacturing space have picked up pace in lately, and was estimated to be $17 billion in 2016-17 (double of 2011 level).
- But despite this, the amount netted by the manufacturing sector was still far less than the capital flow into the service sector (which continues to dominate).
- Notably, sectors like FMCG (where regulations are relatively less important) has netted a fair bit of the FDI into well established companies.
- But more foreign capital is needed in sectors like defence to boost our technical expertise and bring jobs to the skilled and unskilled workers.
- Insufficient infrastructure, rigid labour laws and an unstable regulatory environment are the probable reasons that hinder manufacturing FDI flows.
Why is FDI critical for the country?
- If India is to really scale up its GDP growth and ensure jobs-creation, it is necessary to grow its manufacturing sector.
- But capital available with local industrialists is limited, which makes it is critical for India to attract more FDI in manufacturing.
- In this backdrop, multiple sectors have been slacking in attracting the needed FDI to help boost the economy and ensure jobs and progress.
- Defence - Events like our recent DefExpo generating considerable interests among major defence players around the world.
- But despite this, there hasn’t been much it terms of FDI flows into the sector.
- This poor state of affairs is indeed partly due to the lack of sufficient orders from the government, which is by default the major defence buyer.
- Pharmacy - It is also unfortunate that sectors such as pharmaceuticals aren’t attracting the global players despite India’s large pool of science graduates.
- Pharma sector had seen a decline in FDI flow and pulled in less than $1 billion each in FY16 and FY17, lower than the $1.5 billion in FY15.
- Automobiles – In the automobiles sector too, just $1.6 billion came through in FY17 compared with $2.6 billion in FY16.
- This is despite India’s abundantly cheap labor and a big home market.
What role does FDI play in the Balance of Payment (BoP)?
- FDI is also an important factor in the “Balance of Payments” (BoP) equation that is critical to ensure the stability of the rupee.
- Also, of the total capital inflow of $240 billion in the 3 previous financial years, FDI along accounted for 55% - (rest came from debt and portfolio equity).
- This is a big reversal over the trend in the previous 10 years when FDI accounted for less than 30% of the inflows.
- However, in the December quarter, FDI flows weakened though economists believe it could be a error.
- Nevertheless, with the price of crude oil now nudging $70, there is a real chance the basic BoP becoming negative in the FY19.
Quick Facts:
Basics:
- FY – is the abbreviation for “Financial Year” (April 1st - March 31st)
- BoP = “Net FDI Inflow” minus “Current Account Deficit”
Current Account Defecit (CAD):
- CAD = “Current Account Outflow” minus “Current Account Inflow”
- Current Account Outflow = “Outward remittances by foreign nationals in India” + “Profit Repatriation by Foreign Firms in India” + “Cost of Imports”
- Capital Account Inflows = “Inward remittances by NRIs from abroad” + “Repatriated Profits of Indian Firms Abroad” + “Cost of Exports”.
Source: Financial Express