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The Thailand crisis

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August 28, 2017

What is the issue?

Political instability & populism is costing the ‘Thai economy’ dear.

What is the reason?

  • In 2006, then PM - Takshin Shinawatra was ousted in a military coup and has been living in exile since.
  • Thereafter, Takshin’s sister Yungluck Shinawatra became PM, who too was eventually ousted by a constitutional court. 
  • A return to democratic order remains a long-standing concern.
  • The Shinawatras largely symbolise the simmering opposition to the entrenched influence of the military and urban elites in the nation.

How hopeful is the new Constitution?

  • A new constitution providing for a nominated upper house, a non-elected PM and greater powers for the Generals was recently approved.
  • A 2016 referendum drew a mere 61% approval even from the small 55% voter turnout, which gives it little legitimacy.
  • More ominously, it exposed the ethnic divisions between the Malay Muslim-concentrated provinces in the south who rejected the Constitution and the remaining majority Buddhist regions.
  • Given the systematic suppression of dissent human rights activists have all fallen foul of the Generals.
  • Any hopes for a stable democratic government will hinge on the conduct of free and fair general elections promised for 2018.

How does the economy fare?

  • While Yungluck is facing charges for a constitutionally non compliant ‘Paddy scheme’, the present government too was obliged to offer similar farmer schemes due to the global price scenario.
  • Continued protests & political turbulence has cost the economy dear.
  • The country’s leaders should also be concerned that deficits in democratic governance may not always go unnoticed.
  • Thailand could be losing out to its other ASEAN peers, which could have ramifications to both its internal & external polity.

 

Source: The Hindu

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