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IPCC Report on the Ocean and Cryosphere - UNFCCC Meet

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December 07, 2019

What is the issue?

  • The annual conference of United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) took place in Madrid, Spain. Click here to know more.
  • In this backdrop, one of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s (IPCC’s) recent reports gains significance.

What is the report on?

  • The report is entitled the ‘Special Report on the Ocean and Cryosphere in a Changing Climate’.
  • It highlights the changes taking place in oceans, glaciers and ice-deposits on land and sea.
  • It was prepared following an IPCC Panel decision in 2016 to prepare three Special Reports.
  • The above report follows the Special Reports on Global Warming of 1.5°C (SR1.5), and on Climate Change and Land (SRCCL).
  • The 1.5°C report was a key input used in negotiations at Katowice, Poland in 2018.
  • Countries relied on it to commit themselves to capping global temperature rise to 1.5°C by the end of the century.
  • The recent report updates scientific literature available since 2015.
  • 2015 was when the IPCC released its comprehensive 5th Assessment Report.
  • The report summarises the disastrous impacts of global warming based on current projections of global greenhouse gas emissions.

What are the key highlights?

  • Over the 21st century, the ocean is projected to make transition to unprecedented conditions.
  • Increased temperatures, further ocean acidification, marine heatwaves and more frequent extreme El Nino and La Nina events are the key threats.
  • It is virtually certain that the global ocean has warmed unabated since 1970.
  • It has taken up more than 90% of the excess heat in the climate system.
  • Since 1993, the rate of ocean warming has more than doubled.
  • Marine heatwaves have very likely doubled in frequency since 1982 and are further increasing in intensity.
  • The Southern Ocean accounted for 35%–43% of the total heat gain in the upper 2,000 m global ocean between 1970 and 2017.
  • Its share increased to 45%–62% between 2005 and 2017.
  • Threats - Even under the most optimistic scenarios, human health, livelihoods, biodiversity and food systems face a serious threat from climate change.
  • Accelerated rates of loss of ice, particularly in Greenland, the Arctic and the Antarctic, will produce a destructive rise in sea levels.
  • Increases in tropical cyclone winds, rainfall and extreme waves, combined with relative sea level rise, will exacerbate catastrophic sea level events.
  • All this will deal a blow also to the health of fish stocks.
  • What is particularly significant for countries with a long coastline, including India, is the local sea level anomalies.
  • Such events that occurred once in a century may become annual events, due to the projected global mean sea level rise over the 21st century.
  • This is an alarming scenario for the 680 million residents of low-lying coastal areas and for those living in small islands.
  • Notably, population of low-lying coastal areas may go up to one billion by 2050.
  • A major impact is in the Hindu Kush Himalayan Regions.
  • Floods will become more frequent and severe in the mountainous and downstream areas of the Indus, Ganges and Brahmaputra river basins.
  • This would be because of an increase in extreme precipitation events.
  • The severity of flood events is expected to more than double towards the end of the century.

What does the report call for?

  • There is a yawning gap between planned emissions cuts, and what needs to be done by 2030 to contain global temperature rise at 1.5°C.
  • The IPCC report thus lends further urgency to the task before countries at the UN conference.
  • The member-nations of the UNFCCC are tasked to finalise measures under Article 6 of the Paris Agreement.
  • The objective is to commodify carbon emissions cuts, and to make it financially attractive to reduce emissions.
  • The IPCC assessment underscores the need for unprecedented and urgent action in all countries that have significant greenhouse gas emissions.
  • It strengthens the case for industrialised nations to provide liberal, transparent funding to developing countries under the Paris Agreement.
  • This would reinforce the principle of Common But Differentiated Responsibilities and Respective Capabilities.
  • It would also recognise that rich countries reduced the carbon space available to the poor.

Source: The Hindu

Quick Fact

Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

  • IPCC was established by the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) and the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) in 1988.
  • It is the leading international body for the assessment of climate change.
  • It is the apex referee for scientific evidence on the impact of global warming.
  • It provides a clear scientific view on the current state of knowledge in climate change and its potential environmental and socio-economic impacts.
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