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Misleading Fiscal Deficit

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August 10, 2019

What is the issue?

  • The Comptroller and Auditor General (CAG) said that the numbers in the Union Budget fail to include the growing off-budget liabilities of the Union government.
  • The CAG would like these numbers to be included in the Budget estimates.

What was Government’s response?

  • The government argues that it has already gone further than required in the Union Budget 2019-20 to account for these borrowings.
  • It says that this accounting is done, as the repayment of principal and interest of off-Budget borrowings are made through the Budget.
  • It also points out that there is no formal requirement to include off-Budget borrowing in the estimate of the fiscal deficit.
  • The government is quite right about the above matter. But, appealing to formal requirements is a weak argument in this context.

What is CAG’s point of view?

  • It says that the fiscal deficit number is not an accurate reflection of the government’s spending and borrowing behaviour over the financial year.
  • It pegs the actual fiscal deficit close to 6%, as distinct from the 3.3% claimed by the government in the Budget 2019-20.

What method reflects the government’s fiscal behaviour correctly?

  • There is no credible claim that the fiscal deficit is the right number to look at to judge fiscal prudence.
  • The correct way to resolve this would be to examine a public-sector borrowing requirement measure and a flow variable for the public debt.
  • This debt should take into account budgetary spending and off-budget liabilities, and all the other contingent liabilities of the government.
  • This method would provide a transparent accounting of the degree to which the choices of the Union government are adding to the debt burden of future generations.

What could be done further?

  • The government borrows from the markets and help itself to finance its spending priorities.
  • In this manner, the fiscal deficit covers up the government’s real fiscal carelessness.
  • The Finance Commission should reconsider how government statistics about its spending and borrowing are presented.
  • Such a revaluation would aid the government in planning public investment and savings.
  • This revaluation would also aid the broader investment community, which seeks a clearer understanding of state choices and the future condition of the public debt market.

 

Source: Business Standard

Quick Facts

Fiscal deficit

  • It is the difference between total revenue and total expenditure of the government.
  • It is an indication of the total borrowings needed by the government. While calculating the total revenue, borrowings are not included.
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