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Twenty since Pokran -II

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May 11, 2018

What is the issue?

  • It has been 2 decades since Pokaran nuclear tests of 1998 (Pokran – II).
  • India has more or less achieved the envisioned strategic goals, but the road has not been smooth.

Why did India go nuclear?

  • A future India with nuclear weapons, which would provide for a strategic and military leverage, was hotly discussed in the 1980s.
  • The primary idea was off-set conventional Chinese military superiority and neutralise its nuclear arsenal.
  • Hence, India conducted 5 nuclear tests at Pokhran over 2 days in May 1998.
  • While the envisioned purpose has largely been achieved presently, the road hasn’t been smooth as multiple sanctions and restrictions had to be overcome.

What followed in the immediate aftermath?

  • Reactions - While several global powers reacted to Pokhran-II with fury, the permanent members of the UN Security Council were divided.
  • The US, China, and the UK were critical of India’s nuclear tests, but Russia and France were not in favour of sanctions.
  • Other notable powers who joined the US in imposing sanctions were -Australia, Canada, Germany, Japan, and Sweden.
  • Diplomacy - The skilful diplomacy of Indian delegates and the political dispensation help India tide over the hostile international climate.
  • Soon, the high officials of the US had come to the realisation of the inevitability of India’s nuclear pursuit (considering its neighbourhood).
  • Notably, India has fought wars with China and Pakistan and there were clear indications that developing nuclear deterrence was the only option for India.
  • India also declared that it would not be the first to use nuclear weapons – but asserted that its retaliation to a nuclear attack against it will be furious.
  • The implied that India’s nuclear arsenal will become active only when it has been attacked with nuclear bomb (No First Use Policy).
  • Normalisation - By around 2000, almost all international ties of India had normalised, which was an informal acceptance of India’s nuclear status. 
  • Talks with the US began almost immediately after the 1998 tests, and the 2008 Indo-US nuclear deal can be called the comprehensive end of nuclear isolation.
  • India subsequently got the NSG waiver in September 2008, which was largely due to USA’s lobbying among NSG members.
  • Hence, India posses a nuclear arsenal (and hasn’t signed the NPT), but yet managed to gain entry into international civilian nuclear trade.  

What is India’s current status?

  • India is now a member of three out of four multilateral export control regimes namely - MTCR, Wassenaar Arrangement, Australia Group.
  • It has been trying hard to gain entry into the “Nuclear Supplier’s Group” (NSG), which the export control block for nuclear resources and technology.
  • The adherence to the non-proliferation regime (by own volition) has improved its international standing over the past two decades.
  • 20 years after Pokhran-II, India has demonstrated moral, political and legal standing to convey to the world that it plays by the rules.
  • India’s stand on issues like – “Paris Climate Accord, South China Sea dispute or counter-terrorism initiatives, also project it as a responsible power.

 

Source: Indian Express

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