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12/10/2022 - Economy

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October 12, 2022

The idea of fiscal prudence is the key to bring robust macro-economic stability in the country. Analyse (200 Words)

Refer - Business Line

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PANDI SANTHOSH RAJA S 2 years

Kindly review

IAS Parliament 2 years

Try to provide a comprehensive conclusion. Keep Writing.

IAS Parliament 2 years

KEY POINTS

·        The pandemic has already made debt dynamics unsustainable in several economies.

·        IMF research shows that a one percentage point unanticipated contraction fiscal balance reduces the CAD, on average, by 0.8 percentage point of GDP.

·        This has accentuated CAD to unsustainable levels in some countries. Careful countervailing policy action is required. Open economy considerations will rule monetary and fiscal policies, going forward.

·        Fiscal policy, and not monetary policy, will determine long-term interest rates in the Indian economy. More of fiscal restraint will be needed to avert interest rate shock.

·        Macroeconomic conditions are evolving better than anticipated. The key metric of nominal GDP growth was 19.5 per cent in 2021-22 against the base case projection of 13.5 per cent by the Finance Commission.

·        This enabled them to expand the fiscal deficit by 6.4 percentage points in 2020 after the pandemic struck. Such is the power of counter-cyclical fiscal consolidation.

·        Dollar strength can remain the bugbear for EM (emerging market) currencies till the middle of next calendar year and we must bulwark against such outcomes

·        It is best to stay focused on maintaining macro-financial stability and not overly worry about growth at this stage. Such is the nature of policy trade-offs.

 

 

K. V. A 2 years

Pls review

IAS Parliament 2 years

Good attempt. Keep Writing.

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