24/06/2019 - International Relations

KEY POINTS

Rising US-Iran tensions could have disruptive consequences for India.

Economic tensions

·        USA could easily launch missile attacks on oil tankers in the Straits of Hormuz through which almost a fifth of the world’s oil supplies flow.

·        Oil supply for India dwindles, and rise in inflation in Indian economy.

·        There’s deep uncertainty around the future of Chabahar port being developed with the Iranians that would give India a new route into Afghanistan and Central Asia.

Military tensions

·        Tehran for not downing a US military plane with dozens of personnel aboard.

·        US sought to bring troops from conflicts in Afghanistan and Iraq, and is apparently uneasy about opening a new theatre of conflict and the prospect of retaliation against US targets across the troubled region.

·        The Iranian armed forces are said to have built up a formidable arsenal of missiles that could be used to attack shipping from long distances.

·        This can affect exports from India to Iran and also affects soft power matrix, especially in making a neutral stance in global geo politics.

Impact on India’s Foreign policy

·        Look West policy of India will be in danger as tensions are escalating, withdrawal of US from P5+1 agreement.

·        The Iranians have warned its stock of uranium is about to exceed limits set by the 2015 nuclear deal.

India’s role to minimize the crisis

·        Diplomatic negotiations with Iran and USA at executive and non-executive levels without interfering in their political matters.

·        Getting help from big powers like Russia to intervene and resolve the crisis.

·        Effective usage of India’s soft power matrix.

·        Appointing specialized, experienced and dedicated diplomats to handle the situation.

Kindly review

Review please. Thanks.

Kindly review.

Kindly review